The first quarter ended with a thud. The total market index was down 12.27%. The Nasdaq again was hurt the worst, down 25.5%. In my opinion the Nasdaq is still over-valued trading north of 90 times earnings. It's important to always remember that the performance of a company, as far as selling its goods and services, can be quite different than the performance of its stock. I've heard many investors say the market is cheap. Again, in my opinion it is not cheap, yes it's cheaper but a far cry from being cheap. The S&P 500 is still trading at over 20 times earnings, when the bull market began in 1982 the S&P 500 was trading at 8 times earnings.
As always stay focused to the long-term plan and have faith in diversification; diversification is the key to long term success. I anticipate the Fed lowering rates in May, possibly beforehand if more evidence emerges that the economy is slowing more than they forecasted. Stay the course.
-Tim Hatton thatton@objectivefc.com